Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.650165e-05 2.031184e-05 0.000025 0.000029 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048
2025-07-06 1.107707e-05 1.545272e-05 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000056
2025-07-13 8.229657e-06 1.282579e-05 0.000019 0.000027 0.000037 0.000049 0.000064
2025-07-20 6.299435e-06 1.091418e-05 0.000017 0.000026 0.000038 0.000052 0.000072
2025-07-27 5.157500e-06 9.833390e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057 0.000081
2025-08-03 4.795116e-06 9.822763e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000066 0.000094
2025-08-10 3.889805e-06 8.770124e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000070 0.000102
2025-08-17 2.762410e-06 7.086483e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000045 0.000069 0.000104
2025-08-24 1.995215e-06 5.854228e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000044 0.000070 0.000107
2025-08-31 1.578355e-06 5.206457e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000045 0.000073 0.000114
2025-09-07 1.161242e-06 4.426758e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000044 0.000074 0.000118
2025-09-14 7.845506e-07 3.592254e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000074 0.000120
2025-09-21 4.315506e-07 2.695093e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000075 0.000125
2025-09-28 2.062780e-07 1.946354e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000041 0.000076 0.000130
2025-10-05 1.075342e-07 1.541721e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000079 0.000138
2025-10-12 5.200970e-08 1.231921e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000042 0.000082 0.000147
2025-10-19 2.793259e-08 1.068488e-06 0.000006 0.000019 0.000044 0.000088 0.000159
2025-10-26 2.376199e-08 1.107056e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000049 0.000098 0.000178
2025-11-02 9.531276e-09 9.185865e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000051 0.000102 0.000188
2025-11-09 9.239869e-10 6.181753e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000101 0.000191
2025-11-16 1.901163e-12 4.234881e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000102 0.000195
2025-11-23 NaN 3.323233e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000049 0.000105 0.000204
2025-11-30 NaN 2.318381e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000107 0.000210